High pressure, that had crested over the region overnight Wednesday, will move quickly east of the region this morning. This will allow low pressure, over Illinois, to advance eastward into Ohio, and then into northern New York by evening. Secondary low pressure is then forecast to take shape over the southern New England Coast. The coastal low will strengthen as it accelerates northeastward into the Gulf of Maine by early Friday morning, and into the Canadian Maritimes by Friday afternoon. High pressure over central Canada will slowly build into the region on Friday.
With the approach of the system later this afternoon and overnight tonight, precipitation looks to overspread the Capital Region in response. The precipitation shield should advance north and east of the region by dawn on Friday, leaving only widely scattered showers in its wake. These showers should diminish early on in the day Friday, and increasing sunshine should be the rule of the day, along with blustery conditions. A few clouds may redevelop in the afternoon, as a secondary and reinforcing clod front slides through the region, though precipitation is not anticipated. Temperatures look to run about 5 to 10 degrees below seasonal averages.
Friday night will be mostly clear and cold. With the setting of the sun the winds should decrease in intensity, though calm conditions are not expected. A widespread frost/freeze is possible as temperatures nose dive into the upper 20’s and lower 30’s, with lower readings possible across sheltered valleys and outlying areas.
High pressure takes control of the weather for the weekend, and though it may start out a bit breezy on Saturday, the general trend should be for the winds to slacken off as the weekend progresses. Temperatures look to moderate a tad, but still remain below normal. Another very chilly night is expected on Saturday night with more frost and/or freezing conditions possible.
The new work week looks to feature high pressure remaining in control to start things out. The high crests over the region on Monday, and then moves east of the region by Tuesday, allowing for southerly flow to commence across the region, and a subsequent warm up in temperatures to materialize. A warm front looks to sweep through the region on Wednesday with a chance for some precipitation.
FORECAST FOR THE ALBANY, SCHENECTADY, TROY, NY AREA AND VICINITY…
Today: Increasing, thickening, and lowering clouds with periods of rain and showers likely during the afternoon. High 60-65. Southwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 70%.
Tonight: Periods of rain and showers during the evening, tapering to scattered showers and drizzle after midnight. Becoming breezy overnight. Low 40-45. South winds 5-10 MPH during the evening, shifting northwest and increasing to 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts to near 30 MPH possible after midnight. Chance of rain is 80%.
Friday: A mix of clouds and sunshine and blustery. High 50-55. Northwest winds 15-30 MPH with some higher gusts to near 40 MPH possible at times.
Friday Night: Mostly clear and cold with frost and/or freezing conditions possible. Low near 30. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH.
Saturday: Sunny and breezy. High 55-60. Northwest winds 10-20 MPH.
Sunday: Sunny. High near 60 and low near 30.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 65 and low near 35.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High near 65 low near 40.
LINKS USED IN FORECAST CREATION:
Current Surface Weather Map: http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/currentweatherusnational/uscurrentweather_large.html
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) Surface Weather Map 48 hour loop forecast: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html
National Weather Service Albany, NY Climate Data (Normals & Extremes table): http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/Climate/Albany/NormalsExtremes.htm
State University of New York at Albany (DEAS) weather page: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/index.php?d=wx_data